The US-Canada Tariff Showdown

What happens when unexpected tariffs are imposed on a country? How do they impact businesses, consumers, and the economy at large? And most importantly, what should investors do to navigate uncertainty during times of trade tensions?

In this episode, Keith and Marcelo break down the political and economic fallout, exploring the history of tariffs, their impact on trade, and potential consequences for both the Canadian and the U.S. economy. They discuss market reactions, investor strategies, and why this trade dispute could reshape Canada’s economic future, with possible silver linings amidst the economic turbulence.

If you’re an investor, business owner, or simply someone looking to understand how these global events might impact your financial future, this episode provides a well-rounded perspective on the situation. Tune in for valuable insights on how to navigate uncertainty and what investors should consider moving forward.

Thank you for tuning in!

How Tariffs Shape Trade & Investments

  • Introduction to the episode and overview of the current tariff situation (0:39)
  • The political landscape leading up to the tariffs and the unexpected announcement (1:51)
  • Breakdown of U.S. tariffs on Canada and the retaliatory response (2:40)
  • Economic justifications given for the tariffs and their validity (3:42)
  • The history of U.S.-Canada trade relations and past tariff disputes (7:54)
  • The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of the 1930s and its devastating impact (8:05)
  • Analysis of the U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs in 2018 (8:24)
  • The softwood lumber dispute and its long-term effects (9:31)
  • The business community’s reaction in both Canada and the U.S. (10:17)
  • The economic consequences of tariffs—growth, unemployment, and inflation (14:04)
  • Predictions from economists regarding Canadian GDP and the dollar (14:19)
  • The potential for a global trade war and its broader consequences (19:08)
  • Investor concerns and how markets have responded (22:01)
  • The possibility of Canada expanding trade relationships with other nations (24:40)
  • Calls for a stronger Canadian economy and removing interprovincial trade barriers (25:04)
  • How tariffs might actually encourage national unity and economic independence (26:46)
  • The role of productivity and innovation in Canada’s long-term economic strength (27:11)
  • Investment takeaways: staying diversified, avoiding predictions, and focusing on long-term resilience (28:56)
  • The George St-Pierre analogy—turning adversity into strength (30:20)
  • Final thoughts and sign-off (31:16)

And much more!

Mentioned in this Episode:

Thanks for Listening!

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Meet your hosts

Keith Matthews

Keith Matthews

Partner & Portfolio Manager

Marcelo Taboada

Marcelo Taboada

Associate Portfolio Manager

Lawrence Greenberg

Lawrence Greenberg

Associate Portfolio Manager

Jackson Matthews

Jackson Matthews

Associate Portfolio Manager

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